Is it wrong to pressure lawyers not to defend unpopular clients?

(updated below – Mon 10:40pm)

A week ago, a controversy arose around the fact that gay rights groups pressured the law firm that had planned to defend the Defense of Marriage Act (which prohibits gay marriage) into dropping the case. The gay rights groups contact other clients of the law firm and staged protests.

Many pundits (including those against DOMA) think that it was wrong to put pressure on lawyers like this. Andrew Sullivan wrote:

Pressuring law firms not to is, it seems to me, an ugly way to go about making our case.

Everyone deserves a lawyer; and every lawyer deserves to be treated as a professional, not as a partisan. The campaigns to target lawyers for Gitmo detainees, for example, were, to my mind, attacks on the judicial system. Ditto this, to a lesser extent. Why would we not want DOMA to get the best defense and still fail? Isn’t that easily preferable to hounding law firms to drop cases?

This idea pops up often, and now I am trying to tackle it. The idea is that it is “ugly” or somehow wrong to use pressure or stigmatization to dissuade lawyers from defending unpopular clients. Usually the context is that people attack those who criticized the lawyers who defended accused terrorists (as Sullivan suggests), or who have defended accused child molestors. The usual refrain is “Everyone deserves his day in court! You shouldn’t demonize people who defend the accused!”

My question is: would Sullivan (and others) say that it would be wrong for a particular lawyer to say “I am not going to take on this particular unpopular client because I think what he has done is very bad, and I don’t want to increase the odds that he stays out on the streets?”

If the answer to that question is “no” (which I expect), then how could it be wrong for a lawyer (or other person) who had that view to try to persuade other lawyers that his view was correct?

I can’t think of why there should be such a thing as an opinion which is itself benign, but which it should be considered “ugly” or otherwise wrong to try to spread. If an opinion itself is legitimate, how could it be wrong to speak in favor of that opinion to others? (The one exception is for “opinions” which are personal preferences — e.g. “I want to live in Baltimore because I like the weather there” – it can be legitimate to take this view, but it would be simply silly to try to convince others to take on this opinion once you’ve learned that they prefer tropical weather.)

Are there any other examples where people take no issue with person X having opinion Y, but protest as soon as person X tries to persuade person Z that opinion Y is correct?

Update:

I meant to draw the analogy to boycotts to retail corporations. When people boycott retail corporations, nobody complains “don’t boycott stores! everybody has a right to buy goods!” So why do they complain “don’t pressure lawyers! everybody has a right to a lawyer!” when you do what is analogous to boycotting lawyers (instead of refusing to buy their goods, staging protests and registering your opinion on their behavior)?

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Is Martin Amis a concept artist (and will Christopher Hitchens be convinced by concept art)?

Martin Amis (a famous and good writer) wrote a piece in the Guardian about Christopher Hitchens. Generally, it is interesting and fun to read. But the piece culminates in an attempt to persuade Hitchens to switch from being an atheist to being an agnostic (last 3 paragraphs). Here Amis’ argument seems very weak, and very unlikely to convince Hitchens.

My suspicion is that Amis actually does not care whether he has presented a logically rigorous case, since his argument is best thought of as “concept art,” (as defined by blogger Robin Hanson) i.e. that it reads superficially like an argument grounded in logic, but that really it is just art made out of concepts. Robin Hanson defines a concept artist as follows:

To the naive, “concept artists” may sound like they intend mainly to make claims about reality, and to evaluate those claims in terms of how well they cohere with each other and data about reality. But in fact concept artists evaluate claims more the way most any artists evaluates art – in terms of beauty, elegance, provocation, intrigue, etc. This can make concept artists a bit more tolerant of ambiguity, logical gaps, etc., though the difference can be subtle – being too obviously tolerant of such things usually isn’t good art.

This seems to be exactly what Amis is doing. He is putting words in a page which will make readers feel the same pleasure they feel when looking at art. The difference (in my opinion) is that when viewing “concept art” rather than normal art, the reader thinks he is processing a logical argument, not consciously aware of the fact that he is just viewing art.

Amis’ argument proceeds as follows (there is no need to read anything but the last 3 paragraphs in the article if this argument is the only issue you’re interested in. If you’re interested in some witty comments made by Christopher Hitchens over the years, you should read the rest):

1. The 3rd to last paragraph consists of some fluff at the beginning, followed by a quote from Hitchens about how gaining wisdom involves more fully understanding one’s own ignorance (it is disappointing that Hitchens went to the trouble of making his own version of this tired old saying), followed by the observation that agnosticism is an acknowledgment of ignorance, while atheism is not. Then one more sentence of fluff.

2. The 2nd to last paragraph begins with a sentence that I don’t understand, but that I think I would not care about even if I did understand it:

The atheistic position merits an adjective that no one would dream of applying to you: it is lenten.

Then there is a jab at cosmologists for not accomplishing as much as Amis would have liked over the last 30 years, followed by an incorrect statement:

It cannot be altogether frivolous or wishful to talk of a “higher intelligence” – because the cosmos is itself a higher intelligence, in the simple sense that we do not and cannot understand it.

3. The last paragraph actually probably shouldn’t count as part of the argument at all, more just a gratuitous repetition of Hitchens’ own frequent reminder that we are made of “stardust” and that the sun will explode in the future.

——-

Am I just not smart enough to understand Amis’ argument? Or is it really nothing but art, masquerading as argument?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/books/2011/apr/24/amis-hitchens-world
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Conspiracy Theory Question

UPDATE (Weds 10am): It looks like my blog post gave the White House the jolt of confidence they needed to go ahead and post the birth certificate! Revise the record of conspiracy theories to 0 and 11!

(new update below)

————————–

Has there ever been a theory which the conventional wisdom (and the mainstream media, if it existed) considered to be a “conspiracy theory” but which was ultimately proved to be true, to the satisfaction of subscribers to conventional wisdom?

If not, it seems that birthers, truthers, etc. should recognize that the simple fact that theories of the kind kind they espouse (those considered “conspiracy theories”) have at best an 0 and 10 record or so (in the U.S., say), and statistically this should be powerful evidence that they are wrong, or at least that others will never be convinced by them.

I know there have been cases where conventional wisdom turned out to be embarrassingly wrong, so this is not an argument in favor of conventional wisdom in general, only in favor of conventional wisdom when it is up against what it calls “conspiracy theories.” I don’t believe, for example, that the majority that once believed that the earth was flat ever derided those who claimed that the earth was round (e.g. explorers and their friends) as “conspiracy theorists.” If they did, then my argument would not be as powerful.

UPDATE: Julian, from the comments, says:

Well, some things that might’ve seemed like conspiracy theories until after they came to light:

The FBI wiretapping MLK and his affairs

Tuskeegee Experiments

Project MKULTRA

I don’t know how much media awareness there was of them, though.

My response:

Those are interesting cases, and true cases of nefarious conspiracy.

As you suggest, your example conspiracies were kept secret well enough during the events that there was never a period of time during which people claimed that these conspiracies existed, and were derided for making these claims.

I guess that the underlying reason why anything openly regarded as a “conspiracy theory” is likely to be wrong is that conspiracies are generally hard to keep secret, and as soon as lots of people are suspicious of a supposed conspiracy, the conspiracy is likely to get blown open one way or the other. This is similar to Noam Chomsky’s reason why the 9/11 truthers are likely wrong: if 9/11 were an inside job, it would be way too difficult to keep quiet (and I would add, more difficult once people actually develop the theory that it was an inside job and start investigating and trying to get insiders to crack and reveal the truth).

So my hypothesis boils down to a sort of catch 22: conspiracies exist, but conspiracy theories are always wrong.

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Malcolm Gladwell Experiment

Feel free to keep batting around ideas in the comments about where to find good deals on prescription drugs (as well as to address the question I asked at the end of the last post), but in the meantime I’ve decided to put up another post:

Here is an interesting story about a 31 year-old guy (Dan) who quit his job 1 year ago in order to spend 10,000 hours practicing golf (which he’d never played before) in order to test Malcolm Gladwell’s theory that 10,000 hours is the “magic number of greatness,” i.e. that, as Wikipedia puts it, “the key to success in any field is, to a large extent, a matter of practicing a specific task for a total of around 10,000 hours.” Dan has set out to determine whether he can get into the pros by devoting 10,000 hours of his life to golf.

My hypothesis, having not read any of Gladwell’s books in a long time, is that he did not play sports very seriously as a child. If he did, he’d basically have already performed the experiment that Dan is in the midst of performing in order to test Gladwell’s theory. I performed an abbreviated version of the experiment with tennis. I probably spent closer to 3,000 hours than 10,000 hours practicing (about 10 years, 300 hours/year), and that did not even get me into the top 10 people at my high school, which was clearly not 3/10ths of the way to the pros. There was one guy on my high school team who probably spent an average of 50 hours/year practicing tennis, and he didn’t even have tennis shoes that tied properly, but I was always happy to have him as a doubles partner, since he was simply a natural.

The annoying thing about disagreeing with Malcolm Gladwell is that his theories are so inconvenient to disprove (for those who are not convinced by childhood sports experiments). So thanks to Dan for doing the hard work. Maybe the recent exposes showing that Greg Mortenson is a fraud, combined with the forthcoming (in 5 years or so) demonstration that Gladwell is wrong about a lot of what he says, will scare future book writers into refraining from lies and exaggeration, even if their claims can only be disproved by someone willing to travel to mountain villages in Pakistan, or to take a 6 year break from his career to practice golf.

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Puzzle about Video Game Taipan

updated below – Weds 8pm

Here’s a question my brother asked: There is a video game called Taipan. It can be played as a 2-player game, where the player with the most money at the end wins. You make money by buying and selling opium in Hong Kong (you start the game with some money). The price of opium fluctuates based on some random process (which, if the player plays a bunch of times, he may be able to approximate). You have a storage facility in Hong Kong — when you feel the price is low, you buy opium and store it. When the price is high, you sell it and free up space in your storage facility (which you’ll use for future purchases).

Question: If you want to maximize your probability of winning, could there ever be a circumstance (and if so, what kind of circumstance?) where the optimal strategy involves selling a portion (greater than 0% but less than 100%) of the opium in your storage facility? Or, alternatively, should you always either sell all or none of your opium?

UPDATE: P gave a solution which looks good. Now, consider this different question:

Instead of playing it as a 2-player game, you play it as a 1-player game, and your opponent plays it as a 1-player game, separately, out of sight from you. Opium prices in your opponent’s game follow the same random process as in your game, although they are not equal to, or even correlated with, the prices in your game. In that case, assuming you want to maximize the probability of beating your friend, should you ever sell only a portion of your opium?

I am told by my brother that Taipan actually is a 1-player game, so this followup question is the more relevant one, and the one I should have asked to begin with!

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Constitution Confusion

In last week’s New Yorker, Jeffrey Toobin complains about the Supreme Court’s recent tendency to declare laws that restrict campaign financing (e.g. in Citizens United) unconstitutional. He argues that unrestricted campaign contributions and expenditures, while they may seem to be an example of free “speech,” actually “stifle public debate.”

He tells us how bad it has become:

A surreal moment during the Arizona argument summed up how peculiar the Court’s campaign-finance jurisprudence has become. Springing a well-planned trap, Roberts told the lawyer defending the Arizona law, “I checked the Citizens Clean Elections Commission Web site this morning, and it says that this act was passed to, quote, ‘level the playing field’ when it comes to running for office. Why isn’t that clear evidence that it’s unconstitutional?” To many ears, levelling the playing field hardly sounds like a sinister activity, worthy of the Supreme Court’s ultimate sanction.

Does this sound funny? Let’s try it on a different document. Imagine if someone had written this:

The Sharia Court judge ruled that, according to Sharia, Sally may not leave the house without wearing a headscarf. To many ears, leaving the house without wearing a headscarf hardly sounds like a sinister activity, worthy of the Sharia Court judge’s ultimate sanction.

Toobin, like the fictitious person who makes the above argument about Sharia, fails to draw the elementary distinction between whether an action is sinister, and whether it is proscribed by a document written hundreds of years ago. This would never fool us if we were talking about Sharia law, but apparently it fooled the editors of the New Yorker when in reference to the Constitution.

A rule of thumb I picked up at a young age is that, when tasked with critiquing someone’s interpretation of a document, I should make some reference to the content of the document. And if I wanted a good grade, I might consider including a quote. Here is Toobin writing for the New Yorker, nominally trying to critique the justices’ interpretation of the Constitution, and he makes no reference to the content of the Constitution. Instead, he distractingly tells us whether he believes a particular action allegedly proscribed in the constitution is “sinister.”

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Did Kennedy Really Blunder?

A commenter, O.Shane, disagrees with my assessment.

In the comments to my previous post, he says:

Jonathan,

The two cases (a tax credit vs. a government donation) can be mathematically equivalent, but they are not qualitatively equivalent, because intent and the identity of actor matter in the law. To indulge a metaphor, the matrix of the law does not retain the commutative property.

But, your perspective that the outcomes are so closely related that the method by which we reach them shouldn’t matter offers a different question.

What right does the government have to force citizens to pay for its schools (public schools by taxation) in the first place? And even if the state government has a minimum right to enforce a minimum level of education, why shouldn’t the parents be able to choose where that education lies and to pay for that instead? The alternative is that property owners pay for education, and if they are parents who prefer to send their children elsewhere, they would be required to pay for services they aren’t using.

It is Elena Kagan whose argument is pure sophistry. By pointing out the mathematical equivalence of the transactions, she is attempting to reduce the philosophy of government to an argument to a mere order of operations. It is not, and every Justice recognizes this. This is not an opinion, really, about whether a tax credit is functionally identical to a government payment. It is about who gets to decide what about the raising and education of children. [emphasis added]

The Court (at least 5/9 of it) has rightly determined that the decision is a local one, not a federal one.

O.Shane: You seem to have 2 basic arguments: 1) (argument expressed in your 1st paragraph) that in fact a tax credit and a government expenditure are different things, and should be treated differently by the law. 2) (argument expressed in part I’ve bolded) the justices are being disingenuous by debating the issue of whether a tax credit should be treated the same by the law as a government expenditure — you seem to be saying that they are using this as a proxy argument for what they really disagree about: whether parents should be given freedom about where to send their children to school.

Below I respond to these arguments in order:

1. In your first paragraph, you say “The two cases (a tax credit vs. a government donation) can be mathematically equivalent, but they are not qualitatively equivalent, because intent and the identity of actor matter in the law.” Suppose that a different state, e.g. New Mexico, had a scholarship fund that was exactly equivalent to Arizona’s scholarship fund, except for one difference: in New Mexico, the state Treasury just donates money to scholarship funds, using a partial matching system similar to the system that England uses, which I described in my original post. So in new Mexico, people who donate to the scholarship fund do not get tax credits, but the New Mexico Treasury, each year, takes the total private donations given to the fund, and matches 30% of them. (or you could make it more elaborate in order to make it exactly equivalent to the Arizona case, by having the matching percentage be a function of the tax brackets of all of the private donors, etc.). This case would be essentially equivalent to the Arizona case. Would you think that the Supreme Court should rule differently in this hypothetical New Mexico case, just because the state has framed it as government donations rather than tax credits, even though the two cases have the exact same effect on the residents of the state?

2. It seems that you believe that Kennedy has made the following assessment:

a) I do not like a world where parents cannot choose where their children go to school without being financially punished (here he agrees with both you and me)
b) Unfortunately, based on an honest reading of the constitution, the plaintiffs in this case do have standing to challenge the Arizona law (which I like, because of my opinion in a) above)
c) I’ll just pretend that b) above is not true, and decide this case based on the world I’d like to see, as explained in a). I’ll pretend that b) is not true due to a technicality (namely whether a tax credit is different from a govt. expenditure)

If this is an accurate representation, then this is judicial activism, and his written opinion is misleading.

As I mentioned I do agree with you and Kennedy in that I would prefer that parents be allowed to decide where to send their children to school, without having to face associated financial hardships. But I do not agree with the way that Kennedy arrived at his conclusion in this case. I’d prefer that he either a) be upfront about why he believes that the Arizona law is consistent with the Constitution, or b) make a decision that is consistent with the Constitution, but inconsistent with his own personal preferences.

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Justice Kennedy blunders

The Supreme Court issued a decision (5 to 4) today that it is not a violation of the Establishment Clause of the Constitution for Arizona to give tax credits to people who donate to a scholarship fund that is used to provide scholarships to students to attend private schools, of which many are religious schools. In explaining the majority decision, Anthony Kennedy says that a reason that this is not a violation of the Constitution is that the state of Arizona is merely providing tax credits which support religious schooling, rather than actually spending state money on religious schools:

It is easy to see that tax credits and governmental expenditures can have similar economic consequences, at least for beneficiaries whose tax liability is sufficiently large to take full advantage of the credit. Yet tax credits and governmental expenditures do not both implicate individual taxpayers in sectarian activities. A dissenter whose tax dollars are “extracted and spent” knows that he has in some small measure been made to contribute to an establishment in violation of conscience. Flast , supra, at 106. In that instance the taxpayer’s direct and particular connection with the establishment does not depend on economic speculation or political conjecture…. When the government declines to impose a tax, by contrast, there is no such connection between dissenting taxpayer and alleged establishment. Any financial injury remains speculative.

This argument is obviously completely bogus, as Elena Kagan explains in her dissent:

Our taxpayer standing cases have declined to distinguish between appropriations and tax expenditures for a simple reason: Here, as in many contexts, the distinction is one in search of a difference. To begin to see why, consider an example far afield from Flast and, indeed, from religion. Imagine that the Federal Government decides it should pay hundreds of billions of dollars to insolvent banks in the midst of a financial crisis. Suppose, too, that many millions of taxpayers oppose this bailout on the ground (whether right or wrong is immaterial) that it uses their hard-earned money to reward irresponsible business behavior. In the face of this hostility, some Members of Congress make the following proposal: Rather than give the money to banks via appropriations, the Government will allow banks to subtract the exact same amount from the tax bill they would otherwise have to pay to the U. S. Treasury. Would this proposal calm the furor? Or would most taxpayers respond by saying that a subsidy is a subsidy (or a bailout is a bailout), whether accomplished by the one means or by the other? Surely the latter; indeed, we would think the less of our countrymen if they failed to see through this cynical proposal.

The fact is that tax credits and government expenditures are functionally the same thing. For an example in addition to Kagan’s, consider how the English handle charitable donations: rather than giving you a tax deduction when you donate money to a charity, the government just donates additional money, above and beyond what you donated, to the same charity. This English system is mathematically equivalent to ours, as long as the numbers are aligned correctly (e.g. in the U.S. if you donate $100 to a charity and your tax rate is 30%, the govt. gives you a $30 rebate. In England, you’d just donate $70 to begin with, knowing that the government would then add $30 to your donation.)

We all expect that the Supreme Court justices can honestly disagree with one another on matters of interpretation and value judgments. But this seems to be a case where one justice’s opinion relies on what is basically an objectively false understanding of how money works. We should not let our justices get away with this. The media should shame Kennedy. But given that they generally ignore things like this, I hope Elena Kagan has shamed Kennedy, and made him feel silly. When I make objectively incorrect arguments in the workplace, I can expect others to point out my error and have a little fun doing it, and the humiliation I feel motivates me to be more careful next time. We should hold our justices to a much higher standard. They are probably smarter than the rest of us on average, but apparently not by so much that they don’t need to be whacked back into line through media scrutiny and humiliation once in a while.

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Why don’t liberals care about poor people in other countries very much?

Jonathan Cohn says, when discussing whether we should extend the Bush tax cuts (which we ultimately did, temporarily):

But this debate isn’t just about budget arithmetic. It’s about morality, too. And I’m not sure that part of the debate is getting the attention it deserves.

According to the Republicans and many of their supporters, allowing tax rates on upper incomes to rise would punish the rich for their success, taking away money that the rich have earned. But this argument suffers from two key flaws.

One is that it fails to account for the power of luck. Almost by definition, people who are successful have benefited from some measure of good fortune. That fortune can take the form of obvious, material advantages–like access to advanced technology and good schools. Or it can take the form of more subtle, but still important, assets for moving forward in life–like good health or loving parents.

Most liberals agree with Cohn: it is moral to tax the rich heavily  — lets say 50% of their income, if all taxes are included — because they do not truly “deserve” their wealth, and it is better off in the hands of poorer people. But do Americans truly “deserve” to be vastly more wealthy than people in other countries? If not, then shouldn’t liberals complain loudly that we are being very immoral by allotting only 1% of the American budget to foreign aid? The apparent liberal moral code is that there is a much stronger moral imperative to even out the wealth discrepancy within America than to even out the wealth discrepancy between Americans and foreigners. And Cohn’s argument that wealthy Americans are wealthy because of “luck” seems to apply even more strongly as an explanation for why Americans are generally wealthy as compared to foreigners — Warren Buffet might have been able to have great success, due to his smarts, even if he were born into a poor American family, but if he were born in an impoverished country, he wouldn’t have had a chance.

(But then the question arises: why don’t liberals object that there is a much stronger moral imperative to give money to American charities than to foreign ones?)

And with far left people like Michael Moore, it is much more transparent: what, other than blatant discrimination against foreigners, motivates his belief that it is morally wrong for employers to switch from employing American workers to employing foreign workers (who are likely much poorer)?

Here is what he said, speaking to “anybody who works on Wall Street” on the Rachel Maddow Show (while holding a pair of handcuffs):

You have taken our jobs overseas, we want those jobs back.  Those are a national resource.  Those are not yours to do with as you please.  They affect all of us as a society.

We have a right to those jobs.  We have a right to that money that used to belong to the people of this country.

People generally laugh at Michael Moore for being goofy and very far to the left, but why don’t they call him out for this discriminatory belief?

And why don’t people call out more reasonable people like Jonathan Cohn for endorsing a moral code that seems to arbitrarily single out the intra-country wealth discrepancy as a discrepancy that needs to be rectified, but who pay far less attention to the inter-country wealth discrepancy?

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Steven Pinker definitely makes a logical error

This is an interesting video, but Stephen Pinker makes a statement in it that is analogous to, and just as nonsensical as, the following:

It is not raining outside.

Tom does not know that it is raining outside, as he has not yet looked out the window. [edited to add that last clause]

And I think that the broader point he is making while he makes this error is also pretty much bogus, but that is not quite as clear, and I’ve heard it argued that I am wrong on that.

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